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Tuesday, November 08, 2005
Market Recap
The market is taking a well deserved pause right now and this is very constructive action. Instead of wholesale selling after the recent rally, we are seeing just moderate profit taking and that is healthy for stocks and markets as long as the volume does not get too heavy to the downside. The Dow lost 46 points today, the Nasdaq fell 6 points, and the S&P took a 4 point slide. The charts of the indices still look fine as they attempt to form a base during this consolidation period.
Earnings and Odds
Almost every stock we have listed on the bulletin and wanted to buy prior to earnings but did not because of our rule of not holding through earnings has gapped up after earnings or is up big since the earnings release. GOOG, ISRG, UTHR, SNDK, VPHM, SYKE, AAPL, BOT, DGIN, FFIV, QDEL, RHAT and many from out DT watch list. The list goes on and on of stocks that are up significantly since they released earnings and we have had them here for you prior to those earnings. Our policy has been not to hold through earnings but if we had held these stocks, our gains would be enormous. We held one stock through earnings and that of course had to be the one that tanked on us. It is almost unbelievable that we stuck to the rules and missed all those movers and then the first time we break our own rule, we get burned. We are not going to beat ourselves to death about it. In hindsight, it was a mistake to hold it but considering the track record of earnings for stocks on the recent bulletins, and the red hot internet sector, we felt the risk was worth the potential reward. We also felt that NTES was solid fundamentally and if earnings did not come in as strong as expected, we did not think the stock would take much of a hit.
Cancer Drugs
The next big cancer breakthrough just may be around the corner and there are some stocks with a great chance to do well. Unfortunately, this will be at the expense of human suffering. The only reason for these drugs and the companies that profit from them is because there are many sick people suffering. We followed defense stocks back when the war in Iraq started. Many did quite well and made very nice moves up. Unfortunately, this again was at the expense of humanity.
http://money.cnn.com/2005/11/07/news/fortune500/ca...
There are a slew of cancer treatments that are under FDA review. We will begin to hear about quite a few of these in the coming weeks and months. These stocks are some huge gambles. If the drug is approved, it is like winning the lottery, especially if you are holding call options. If it fails to pass the FDA reviews, the company for that drug can be quickly out of business if it is the only drug they are working on. Some of the larger companies stand a much better chance of weathering the storm if a drug does not get through the FDA but those stocks do not move as much as the ones with only one or two drugs and with smaller floats. There should be a lot of activity with some of these stocks as these trials and the results are announced. Remember to do your research and try not to be in companies with only one or two drugs needing FDA approval. Companies with a pipeline of drugs are a much safer play.
Stock charts listing
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http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServ...
Thank you all for voting
STHQ Chart Index
If you go to the chart index in the left side menu, you can review and study charts we have annotated for each stock listed in the past.
Earnings Calendar
We have added the earnings link for each stock on the bulletin. To access the link for earnings you can either use this link below or click the link on the bulletin for the corresponding ticker. Click the online bulletin in the left side menu for access to the earning calendar for each stock listed. It is not recommended to hold a position through earnings. You can always buy the stock back after the dust settles.
http://www.earnings.com
For New Members:
For all the new members with us, please make sure to read the link “How to use Bulletin” at the bottom of the Bulletin page on the website. It is critical you know how to use this trading tool before trying to trade the stocks mentioned. The effectiveness of your trades will diminish if you do not completely understand how the information is presented.
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