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Monday, December 06, 2004
Market Recap
The markets rested today, nothing much happened in the way of advances on the indices. The Dow dropped -45 points, the S&P traded flat once again, and the NASDAQ gained +3 points. The NASDAQ came within 2 points of a new closing 52 wk high. Maybe it will happen tomorrow. While the indices trade flat, many bulletin stocks are doing well. It will be a stock picker's market going forward. Yes, it is true that if this is a bull market then the bull will lift most stocks, but some will move much more than others. It is these “some more than others” stocks that we want to be focused on. We want to look for the small cap stocks with accelerated growth; these will always out perform the indices. The Russell small cap index is out performing the bigger indexes hands down and small caps will continue to out perform in this new bull market.
Small Caps for Large Growth
I have always liked small cap stocks because they have the most growth potential. We can out perform the market by getting into these high growth stocks. CSCO, MSFT, and INTC were all high growth stocks at one time and they have had tremendous gains over the years. Now they are just solid companies that will perform with the market, the big growth is over for them. They are still great companies but they will never again make those gains they once did. It is time for new leaders to emerge and that is what I am looking for; I want to find the small cap companies that are on the verge of breaking out into record growth spurts.
I want to find companies that are doing what no other companies are doing. TASR is a good example, they have no competition to speak of, and it is up 3000% in the last two years. SIRI and XMSR are another example; we have talked about these two stocks many times over the last year. They are the only two companies selling satellite radio. There is little competition in that space and those stocks are on the move.
ADSX may be another of these types of runners. They are doing what no other company is doing. A chip that can be implanted into individuals for medical emergencies, and this chip has been approved by the FDA. No other company is doing this. It could be very big and if they do not capitalize on this technology, some other company will. They could be a buy out candidate because of the patent they own on this technology. I think this technology will be big in the future; whether or not ADSX will be the company to make it big is another story. But right now, the stock is heating up and we just never know how far stocks can run once they get going.
Look for other companies doing something that nobody else does. If you think the technology has a chance, now is the time to take a chance. Buy some of that company for your long term portfolio. Lock it up and throw away the key. Look back on it every now and then and you may be pleasantly surprised. I did this with AOL about 12 years ago. I bought the stock when nobody even new what AOL was because I thought what the company had to offer would be big someday. Little did I know just how big they would become, but I was pleasantly surprised to find I was dead on. Satellite radio will also be very big one day. Implantable medical chips? I do not know if they will be accepted by the public but it sure sounds like it could be very big someday.
A changed to our OTC BB Stock watch list
We are going to start adding the closing price the day we list OTC BB stocks on this commentary. It is a little different then the bulletin stocks. Bulletin stocks are listed as the open price the day after they appear on the bulletin. Since OTC BB stocks do not trade after hours or before the market opens, they will be listed at the price they closed the day they were added to our list. These stocks will stay here until the charts indicate they should be removed. We can better monitor their progress this way.
CYME - 2.45
GNAC - 1.32
GPSN - .19
PRCY- 1.44 (Up another .17 today on tremendous volume)
ALMI - .34
PYDS - .33
UGNE - 1.80, this is just about ready to move up big.
VSNI - 1.71, keeping it here, after a rest it should move again.
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